From August 2011 until the first part of 2012:
August and September: Kids are starting back to school in the next few days, parents are having to buy back to school supplies, clothes, meet the teachers and get their kids shots caught up. Right “now” parents have a lot to think about and worry about besides prepping.
Labor day: is right around the corner.
October: Halloween in October.
October and November: Hunting season starts.
November – thanksgiving.
December – Christmas and then New Years.
People have stuff to keep their minds occupied until the first part of 2012. After the turn of the year, I look for people attention to turn towards world events and the direction this nation is going.
After new years I think is when the panic buying mode is going to kick in – and especially after people start getting their income taxes back.
2012 – As 2012 progresses and the election season turns hostile, there is going to be a lot of propaganda on TV and the internet about the various people running for office. I look for this propaganda to have a side effect on the voters, and that is spreading fear through the general public.
I look for the debt talks to resume again, and I look for tension between the USA and the rest of the world (especially China) to increase.
Around April and May 2012 – is when I look for the panic buying to pick up, especially with the poor and low middle classes. This is when people will start getting their income tax returns. Instead of buying TVs, and other toys, people might turn to buying firearms, ammo and food.
Over the next few months (August – December 2011) people are going to be forking out money on school supplies, clothes, labor day, holidays, Christmas, new years,,,,,,,. This is why I look for the “real” panic buying to kick in after people start getting their income taxes back in early – mid 2012. Having to buy school supplies and getting ready for the holidays does not leave a lot of money for prepping.
My personal plan, and I am not suggesting that people do this, but buy whatever long term food supplies you can afford. If you have been thinking about buying #10 cans of freeze dried foods, please do so.
One of the issues with buying SHTF survival gear, it leaves less money for other stuff. Do not overspend on preps. Whenever possible, put money into a rainy day fund. If the federal government shuts the banks down, you want enough cash on hand for food and fuel.
When people start getting their income tax returns back, and have some extra money, that is when people might start buying in bulk.
Over the past few months I have been stockpiling fishing supplies like crazy. Everytime my wife and I went to the local sporting goods store I would grab some hooks, trotline string, artificial worms, extra monofilament line, new fishing pole and reel,,,,,.
Do I expect some kind of civil unrest, no,, or rather I hope not. With the extreme drought in Texas, crops are dying in the fields, and people are having to sell off their livestock, what kind of impact on food prices can we expect due to the failed crops, I do not know.
I want to be as honest as possible, and say right up front, I do not know what the future holds. I suspect food prices will go up, but only time will tell.
Over the next few months my preps will focus on food – and that means everything from mylar bags, to canned goods, to #10 cans of freeze dried foods.
Save as money as possible
Buy as much food as your family can afford
Get caught up on your bills
Do not have any outstanding credit card bills
Do not have any high interest loans
Secure your possessions and your property
Communicate with your family about your plans
Post your comments in this forum thread about the calm before the storm.